Iran's Cognitive Science and Technology Foresight, Using Scenario Planning Approach
Subject Areas : Generalhabibollah tataeian 1 * , alimorteza birang 2 , alinaghi khrazi 3 , amir nazemi 4
1 - Allameh Tabataba’I University
2 -
3 - Tehran University
4 -
Keywords: Cognitive Science and Technology, Foresight, Scenario, Cognitive Neuroscience, Futurology,
Abstract :
In the near future cognitive science along with nano, bio and information technology (known as NBIC), can lead to a turning point and start a golden age by improving human's mental and physical performance. Based on this, in this research, by exploring foresight activities of other countries as well as indentifying the effective drivers of the future of cognitive science and technology, we are going to develope the future scenarios of the field in Iran in 2020 horizon. We use two methods inorder to identify the drivers: literature review and interviews with experts. Then, using a delphi survey the future uncertainties has been explored. Thus, the 4 scenarios which depict the future of cognitive science and technologies has been presented by using the 2 dimensional space resulting from the explored below uncertainties: the convergence and divergence of stakeholders and the engineering the mind approach against empowering the mind approach.
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